Thursday, September 12, 2013

Ten silliest and dishonest claims about the future..

#10 - The Great Lakes will dry up due to global warming & drought.

Facts: - water levels in the Great Lakes fluctuates up and down...always have & always will - they are not going to dry up.
See the details on this chart - levels have been up and down many, many times since measurements began.
Note that back in 1997 there were all time record high levels and people were worried the lakes would cause great flooding.
http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/data/now/wlevels/dbd/
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/30/us-transportion-water-drought-idUSBRE8AT17E20121130
http://www.wtsp.com/weather/article/296424/3/Two-Great-Lakes-at-shallowest-levels-ever-recorded


#9 - Groundwater levels in 1988 were low after some droughts and many predicted they would never recover, wells would go permanently dry  - or would at least take 50 years of heavy rains to recover.

Facts: The ground water levels have long since recovered even though we did have a few more years of drought.
http://pubs.usgs.gov/sir/2007/5193/pdf/sir2007-5193.pdf

However - the drought has less to do with this than other forms of human behavior.  We now cover so much land with buildings, parking lots, concrete, and other structures that rain no longer returns to the ground to replenish groundwater - and instead it runs off and into creeks & rivers and ultimately runs into the oceans causing ocean level rise.
This is a man-made problem but it is not man-made pollution it is man-made building - something we equate with progress and higher level of human society & function.

As a corollary to this claim - many experts predicted disaster a couple years ago in California with massive loss of water in reservoirs and wells.  They said it would take FIFTY YEARS of heavy rains to replenish the water in California lakes reservoirs, wells, etc.

Fact: - one year of decent rain & snow resulted in COMPLETE recovery and there is no problem any more.
Talk about Chicken Little!!!
http://www.denverpost.com/ci_14688924


#8 The Antarctic ice shelf was melting and would never recover.

Fact: This also happens on and off - and yes - a huge hunk of Antarctic ice shelf broke off a few years ago amid predictions of panic by some...
BUT - the entire ice shelf quickly reformed and was back to normal.
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/98EO00152/abstract
http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Observing_the_Earth/Further_break-up_of_Antarctic_ice_shelf

Now we see all time RECORD HIGH Antarctic ice levels...the ice sheets are bigger than ever, so if smaller ice means disastrous global warming - wouldn't you think massive high record ice in Antarctica ought to somehow signal the opposite?
http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2012/09/16/antarctic-ice-area-sets-another-record-nsidc-is-silent/

As a corollary - many predicted MASSIVE melting of Antarctic snow would cause worldwide flooding.

Fact: it didn't and Antarctic snow levels are also hitting RECORD high levels.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/02/12/sea-ice-news-volume-4-1-arctic-ice-gain-sets-a-new-record/


#7 - Here's the funniest one - many "experts" including this well known one predicted the day was coming soon when New York & Washington DC would NEVER see snow again.

Fact: They have since seen RECORD snowfall
http://www.ihatethemedia.com/noted-global-warming-expert-rfk-jr-predicted-that-washington-dc-might-never-see-snow-again
http://notrickszone.com/2013/01/04/northern-hemisphere-snow-cover-sets-all-time-december-record-9-million-sq-km-more-than-32-years-ago/


#6 Arctic ice was disappearing and would never recover - or at the very best scenario wouldn't recover for 50 years!!!

Fact: Just one cooler than average summer has resulted in the Arctic ice cap not only RECOVERING but expanding to record levels. 
The polar bears are quite happy now.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2415191/Global-cooling-Arctic-ice-caps-grows-60-global-warming-predictions.html


#5 The most respected and top expert in climate science claimed the ice, snow, and glaciers in the Himalayas and on Mt. Everest were disappearing and would be gone by 2038!

Fact: this same "scientist" has since been discovered to have fabricated all his data, and lied about everything he said because he had an agenda.
He has since recanted and admitted he lied and now is known to be a fraud.
That didn't stop the United Nations to hire the guy as their expert!
http://iceagenow.info/2012/02/himalayas-lost-ice-10-years-study-shows/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/01/23/breaking-news-scientist-admits-ipcc-used-fake-data-to-pressure-policy-makers/


#4 Of course you've heard this one plenty - that global warming would result is worse HURRICANE seasons, more monster storms, and even worse tornadoes.

Fact: Not so at all - there have always been bad storms and bad years intermixed with milder ones.
Many point to "Sandy" - but check it out yourself - Sandy wasn't even a HURRICANE - it dropped to a tropical storm - and it didn't cause damage by its severity but because of people building in its path.

This year happens to be an ALL record MILD year for hurricanes and tornadoes.
Certainly this does not fit their predictions so they simply aren't talking about it.
In fact only TWO of the last TEN years saw an Atlantic hurricane season that was worse than historical average and the other EIGHT years were milder than average.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/08/19/2013-is-a-record-low-year-for-u-s-tornadoes/

But - the experts still have reduced the standards needed to call a storm a hurricane for warning purposes - they want to make sure you don't ignore them.
http://www.whiotv.com/news/weather/hurricane-tropical-storm-warning-definitions-chang/nXCmy/ 
http://www.foxnews.com/science/2012/12/05/national-hurricane-center-to-expand-storm-warnings/


#3 Massive ice melts would result in sea levels rising several meters - many even claimed it would happen by 20010 and 2013...  This would result in horrible flooding along coastlines and displace hundreds of millions of people!
http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/science_and_impacts/impacts/early-warning-signs-of-global-8.html

These people claimed sea levels would rise 60 to 80 METERS!!!
http://science.howstuffworks.com/environmental/earth/geophysics/question473.htm

Fact: well - it just isn't happening.  When people are asked to show even one example of this happening anywhere in the world - they come up with nothing!

Here are the facts:
-sea levels are gradually rising and have done so steadily for well over 100 years...it's practically linear and it was predictable.
Look at this graph and see that sea levels rose very gradually even when the earth had cooling stretches in the 1950's, 1970's, etc..
This is proof it has nothing to do with earth warming.
http://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/700px-recent_sea_level_rise-1.png

So what's causing it??  Go back and read #9 above - it has large to do with the expansion of population, the filling of lakes & swamps, the displacement of water sitting on continents by buildings, fill, sea walls, and backfill.
We all know most of Manhattan was once water-filled swamp as was half of southern Louisiana & New Orleans.  Where do you think all that water gradually goes when it's displaced?
It ultimately goes back and causes the oceans to rise.

If you still doubt this - then consider when there were a few regional heavy rains & floods recently in Australia - the experts showed that "REPLACING" water into lakes & swamps - the opposite of what's been gradually happening for 100 years - stopped the gradual rise of the oceans!!
http://earthsky.org/earth/can-unusual-weather-patterns-halt-sea-level-rise

"Experts" who have tried to show where shore damage is occurring - have to make things up.
Remember the NY Times writer that claimed Norfolk was being flooded when it wasn't due to rising sea but to sinking ground!
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/04/28/norfolk-virginia-sea-levels-rise_n_1461486.html


#2 I threw this one in just to show how silly and dishonest some global warming advocates are.  This isn't a big deal but it is a big lie.

Recently this photo showed up with lots of claims that is was incontrovertible proof of global warming and melting polar ice caps.
http://www.livescience.com/38347-north-pole-ice-melt-lake.html

This photo went viral with wild claims of warming-related disasters!
...but, as always, there's more to the story...

Fact: this photo was NOT taken at the North Pole.  Of course that fact was irrelevant to those who already had an agenda to jam down your throat.
Here's the truth - that photo is not the North Pole and does not show massively melting arctic ice.
In fact - go back to #6 and see that Arctic ice is actually at RECORD HIGHS!
http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/07/30/polar-researchers-explain-north-pole-lake/?_r=0


#1 Every year we get warmer and warmer - global warming is a fact and it's getting worse every year!

Fact: well - that's not what the facts say...
I suppose you can hand pick the data you want to prove just about anything but most reputable scientists agree that the warming treand that existed through the 1980's and 1990's - somewhat ended about 1997 and have shown virtually NO warming since.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2217286/Global-warming-stopped-16-years-ago-reveals-Met-Office-report-quietly-released--chart-prove-it.html

Actually there's evidence that we are now entering perhaps a long cooling cycle!
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/climatechange/10294082/Global-warming-No-actually-were-cooling-claim-scientists.html


















record hurricane seasons would become the norm

photo of north pole buoy